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Optimized ensemble framework for predicting hydroponic stock and sales using machine learning


 
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1. Title Title of document Optimized ensemble framework for predicting hydroponic stock and sales using machine learning
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Viktor Handrianus Pranatawijaya; University of Palangka Raya; Indonesia
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Ressa Priskila; University of Palangka Raya; Indonesia
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Putu Bagus Adidyana Anugrah Putra; University of Palangka Raya; Indonesia
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Nova Noor Kamala Sari; University of Palangka Raya; Indonesia
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Efrans Christian; University of Palangka Raya; Indonesia
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Septian Geges; University of Palangka Raya; Indonesia
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Novera Kristianti; University of Palangka Raya; Indonesia
 
3. Subject Discipline(s) Artificial Intelligence; Machine Learning; Linear Regression; Random Forest; Extreme Radient Bosting; Ensemble Model; Evolutionary Algorithm; LIME; Sustainable Development Goals;
 
3. Subject Keyword(s) Evolutionary algorithm; Hydroponic farming; Optimized ensemble model; Predictive analytics; Sustainable agriculture
 
4. Description Abstract The increasing global demand for food necessitates the adoption of sustainable agricultural practices. Hydroponic farming, while efficient in resource utilization, faces challenges in accurately predicting stock levels and sales due to dynamic, ever-changing factors. This research presents an optimized ensemble framework for forecasting hydroponic stock levels and sales by integrating linear regression (LR), random forest (RF), and XGBoost, further enhanced through an evolutionary algorithm (EA). The proposed framework is evaluated using root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE), demonstrating significant accuracy improvements over individual models. The ensemble model achieves an RMSE reduction of 43.82% for stock prediction and 55.3% for sales forecasting compared to the best-performing individual model. Additionally, local interpretable model-agnostic explanations (LIME) are employed to offer stakeholders clear insights into decision-making processes, such as identifying "number of harvested crops" and "sales data" as key drivers of prediction outcomes. This framework supports sustainable development goals (SDGs) 9.3, 12.3, and 12.C by promoting resource efficiency, reducing food waste, and improving small-scale farmer market access. Future research will explore real-time data integration for dynamic adaptation and further model enhancements.
 
5. Publisher Organizing agency, location Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science
 
6. Contributor Sponsor(s)
 
7. Date (YYYY-MM-DD) 2025-10-01
 
8. Type Status & genre Peer-reviewed Article
 
8. Type Type
 
9. Format File format PDF
 
10. Identifier Uniform Resource Identifier https://ijai.iaescore.com/index.php/IJAI/article/view/26134
 
10. Identifier Digital Object Identifier (DOI) http://doi.org/10.11591/ijai.v14.i5.pp3879-3886
 
11. Source Title; vol., no. (year) IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI); Vol 14, No 5: October 2025
 
12. Language English=en en
 
14. Coverage Geo-spatial location, chronological period, research sample (gender, age, etc.)
 
15. Rights Copyright and permissions Copyright (c) 2025 Viktor Handrianus Pranatawijaya, Ressa Priskila, Putu Bagus Adidyana Anugrah Putra, Nova Noor Kamala Sari, Efrans Christian, Septian Geges, Novera Kristianti
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